Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-31 4.056499 4.342165 4.647677 5.000401 5.398542 5.836579 6.358507
2025-09-07 3.603371 4.000040 4.450863 5.007756 5.686727 6.500830 7.572119
2025-09-14 3.238007 3.672209 4.184022 4.843529 5.689173 6.764994 8.287608
2025-09-21 2.995071 3.452093 4.006072 4.744049 5.729890 7.048446 9.039197
2025-09-28 2.820997 3.295367 3.883997 4.690804 5.808188 7.372343 9.883724
2025-10-05 2.697684 3.189591 3.813107 4.690602 5.948230 7.789048 10.936627
2025-10-12 2.624549 3.140517 3.808613 4.774534 6.209369 8.413214 12.459514
2025-10-19 2.554967 3.089819 3.795651 4.841430 6.447517 9.031264 14.128473
2025-10-26 2.475212 3.019687 3.749674 4.853883 6.599235 9.525123 15.697855
2025-11-02 2.377033 2.918777 3.653716 4.782937 6.607730 9.767672 16.811754
2025-11-09 2.271278 2.802267 3.528925 4.658537 6.514762 9.810612 17.487898
2025-11-16 2.190180 2.716191 3.442880 4.587072 6.502428 10.000648 18.577592
2025-11-23 2.143217 2.677879 3.426759 4.628277 6.696080 10.639511 21.134658
2025-11-30 2.089523 2.627860 3.391050 4.636156 6.833323 11.195288 23.779221
2025-12-07 1.999148 2.521657 3.266501 4.491052 6.677305 11.101283 24.383945
2025-12-14 1.929834 2.443168 3.179956 4.402949 6.618761 11.213393 25.754662
2025-12-21 1.875772 2.384591 3.120586 4.355738 6.631900 11.489113 27.884570
2025-12-28 1.836852 2.346524 3.090539 4.355559 6.734967 11.995201 31.296261
2026-01-04 1.818104 2.337168 3.103907 4.429963 6.992771 12.938144 37.582736
2026-01-11 1.796766 2.322957 3.108686 4.489195 7.226365 13.881075 45.273072
2026-01-18 1.765887 2.293224 3.087375 4.500215 7.359675 14.586622 52.881939
2026-01-25 1.720805 2.240579 3.027298 4.437406 7.327040 14.807277 57.605151
2026-02-01 1.667852 2.174573 2.943523 4.327109 7.180759 14.661461 59.298325